diff --git a/app/core/Engine/controllers/transaction-controller/event_properties/metamask-pay.test.ts b/app/core/Engine/controllers/transaction-controller/event_properties/metamask-pay.test.ts
index f779890372a3..e1f8db025229 100644
--- a/app/core/Engine/controllers/transaction-controller/event_properties/metamask-pay.test.ts
+++ b/app/core/Engine/controllers/transaction-controller/event_properties/metamask-pay.test.ts
@@ -46,19 +46,6 @@ describe('Metamask Pay Metrics', () => {
     });
   });
 
-  it('returns nothing if predict_deposit', () => {
-    request.transactionMeta.nestedTransactions = [
-      { type: TransactionType.predictDeposit },
-    ];
-
-    const result = getMetaMaskPayProperties(request);
-
-    expect(result).toStrictEqual({
-      properties: {},
-      sensitiveProperties: {},
-    });
-  });
-
   it('copies properties from parent transaction if bridge', () => {
     getUIMetricsMock.mockReturnValue({
       properties: {
@@ -359,4 +346,36 @@ describe('Metamask Pay Metrics', () => {
 
     expect(result.properties.mm_pay_dust_usd).toBeUndefined();
   });
+
+  it('sets polymarket_account_created as true if predict deposit and matching nested transaction', () => {
+    request.transactionMeta.nestedTransactions = [
+      { type: TransactionType.predictDeposit },
+      { data: '0xa1884d2c1234' },
+    ];
+
+    const result = getMetaMaskPayProperties(request);
+
+    expect(result).toStrictEqual({
+      properties: {
+        polymarket_account_created: true,
+      },
+      sensitiveProperties: {},
+    });
+  });
+
+  it('sets polymarket_account_created as false if predict deposit with no matching nested transaction', () => {
+    request.transactionMeta.nestedTransactions = [
+      { type: TransactionType.predictDeposit },
+      { data: '0xa1884d2d' },
+    ];
+
+    const result = getMetaMaskPayProperties(request);
+
+    expect(result).toStrictEqual({
+      properties: {
+        polymarket_account_created: false,
+      },
+      sensitiveProperties: {},
+    });
+  });
 });
diff --git a/app/core/Engine/controllers/transaction-controller/event_properties/metamask-pay.ts b/app/core/Engine/controllers/transaction-controller/event_properties/metamask-pay.ts
index 1255ca8c36fa..be0137f740ae 100644
--- a/app/core/Engine/controllers/transaction-controller/event_properties/metamask-pay.ts
+++ b/app/core/Engine/controllers/transaction-controller/event_properties/metamask-pay.ts
@@ -5,6 +5,8 @@ import { orderBy } from 'lodash';
 import { NATIVE_TOKEN_ADDRESS } from '../../../../../components/Views/confirmations/constants/tokens';
 import { hasTransactionType } from '../../../../../components/Views/confirmations/utils/transaction';
 
+const FOUR_BYTE_SAFE_PROXY_CREATE = '0xa1884d2c';
+
 const COPY_METRICS = [
   'mm_pay',
   'mm_pay_use_case',
@@ -32,6 +34,12 @@ export const getMetaMaskPayProperties: TransactionMetricsBuilder = ({
       (batchId && hasTransactionType(tx, PAY_TYPES) && tx.batchId === batchId),
   );
 
+  if (hasTransactionType(transactionMeta, [TransactionType.predictDeposit])) {
+    properties.polymarket_account_created = (
+      transactionMeta?.nestedTransactions ?? []
+    ).some((t) => t.data?.startsWith(FOUR_BYTE_SAFE_PROXY_CREATE));
+  }
+
   if (hasTransactionType(transactionMeta, PAY_TYPES) || !parentTransaction) {
     return {
       properties,