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Lets Make A Deal In Monte Carlo

Monte Carlo Simulation to demonstrate the Monty Hall Problem.

This simple simulation plays the famous 3 doors game from Let's Make a Deal thousands of times with both strategies:

  • Stick with the initial door chosen
  • Switch to the other door after the host reveals that the prize in not behind one of the other doors

If the simulation is run with a large enough sample you will see that there is a clear winning strategy:

  • Stick wins 33% of the time
  • Switch wins 66% of the time