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Copy file name to clipboardExpand all lines: lectures/exchangeable.md
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@@ -181,12 +181,12 @@ $G$ with probability $1 - \tilde \pi$.
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Thus, we assume that the decision maker
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-**> knows**> both $> F$> and $> G$
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-**> doesnt't know**> which of these two distributions that nature has drawn
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-> summarizing his ignorance by acting as if or **> thinking**> that nature chose distribution $> F$> with probability $> \tilde \pi \in (0,1)$> and distribution
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> $> G$> with probability $> 1 - \tilde \pi$
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-> at date $> t \geq 0$> has observed the partial history $> w_t, w_{t-1}, \ldots, w_0$> of draws from the appropriate joint
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> density of the partial history
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-**knows**both $F$ and $G$
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-**doesnt't know** which of these two distributions that nature has drawn
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- summarizing his ignorance by acting as if or **thinking**that nature chose distribution $F$ with probability $\tilde \pi \in (0,1)$ and distribution
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$G$ with probability $1 - \tilde \pi$
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- at date $t \geq 0$has observed the partial history $w_t, w_{t-1}, \ldots, w_0$ of draws from the appropriate joint
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density of the partial history
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But what do we mean by the *appropriate joint distribution*?
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@@ -616,7 +616,7 @@ periods when the sequence is truly IID draws from $G$. Again, we set the initial
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π_paths_G = simulate(a=3, b=1.2, T=T, N=1000)
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```
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In the above graph we observe that now most paths $\pi_t \rightarrow 0$.
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In the above graph we observe that now most paths $\pi_t \rightarrow 0$.
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