Deaths-in-oldest-months.ipynb

{
 "cells": [
  {
   "cell_type": "markdown",
   "metadata": {},
   "source": [
    "## Excess Winter Mortality amongst oldest people\n",
    "\n",
    "Excess Winter Mortality is a well studiest phenomenon, especially in [UK](https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/bulletins/excesswintermortalityinenglandandwales/previousReleases), [Europe](https://jech.bmj.com/content/57/10/784) and Australia. \n",
    "\n",
    "Here we try to check if this result holds for the oldest people\n",
    "\n"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 1,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [],
   "source": [
    "# usual imports\n",
    "\n",
    "import pandas\n",
    "import matplotlib.pyplot as plt\n",
    "import seaborn as sns\n",
    "import calendar\n"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 2,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "data": {
      "text/html": [
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       "    }\n",
       "</style>\n",
       "<table border=\"1\" class=\"dataframe\">\n",
       "  <thead>\n",
       "    <tr style=\"text-align: right;\">\n",
       "      <th></th>\n",
       "      <th>Birthplace</th>\n",
       "      <th>Name</th>\n",
       "      <th>Born</th>\n",
       "      <th>Died</th>\n",
       "      <th>Deathplace</th>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "  </thead>\n",
       "  <tbody>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>0</th>\n",
       "      <td>England (UK)</td>\n",
       "      <td>Betsy Baker</td>\n",
       "      <td>1842-08-20</td>\n",
       "      <td>1955-10-24</td>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (NE)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>1</th>\n",
       "      <td>England (UK)</td>\n",
       "      <td>Jennie Howell</td>\n",
       "      <td>1845-02-11</td>\n",
       "      <td>1956-12-16</td>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (CA)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>2</th>\n",
       "      <td>Denmark</td>\n",
       "      <td>Anne Marie Carstenson</td>\n",
       "      <td>1849-01-24</td>\n",
       "      <td>1958-03-30</td>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (NE)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>3</th>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (IN)</td>\n",
       "      <td>Nancy Ryan</td>\n",
       "      <td>1849-09-05</td>\n",
       "      <td>1958-10-17</td>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (IN)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>4</th>\n",
       "      <td>Netherlands</td>\n",
       "      <td>Christina Karnebeek-Backs</td>\n",
       "      <td>1849-10-02</td>\n",
       "      <td>1959-10-07</td>\n",
       "      <td>Netherlands</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>5</th>\n",
       "      <td>Norway</td>\n",
       "      <td>Marie Olsen</td>\n",
       "      <td>1850-05-01</td>\n",
       "      <td>1959-11-24</td>\n",
       "      <td>Norway</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>6</th>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (MI)</td>\n",
       "      <td>Mary Kelly</td>\n",
       "      <td>1851-06-07</td>\n",
       "      <td>1964-12-30</td>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (CA)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>7</th>\n",
       "      <td>England (UK)</td>\n",
       "      <td>Elizabeth Kensley</td>\n",
       "      <td>1855-05-12</td>\n",
       "      <td>1965-03-06</td>\n",
       "      <td>England (UK)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>8</th>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (TX)</td>\n",
       "      <td>William Fullingim</td>\n",
       "      <td>1855-07-07</td>\n",
       "      <td>1965-08-06</td>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (OK)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>9</th>\n",
       "      <td>England (UK)</td>\n",
       "      <td>Hannah Smith</td>\n",
       "      <td>1856-01-07</td>\n",
       "      <td>1966-01-10</td>\n",
       "      <td>England (UK)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>10</th>\n",
       "      <td>England (UK)</td>\n",
       "      <td>John Turner</td>\n",
       "      <td>1856-06-15</td>\n",
       "      <td>1968-03-21</td>\n",
       "      <td>England (UK)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>11</th>\n",
       "      <td>South Africa</td>\n",
       "      <td>Johanna Booysen</td>\n",
       "      <td>1857-01-17</td>\n",
       "      <td>1968-06-16</td>\n",
       "      <td>South Africa</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>12</th>\n",
       "      <td>Czechoslovakia</td>\n",
       "      <td>Marie Bernatkova</td>\n",
       "      <td>1857-10-22</td>\n",
       "      <td>1969-05-04</td>\n",
       "      <td>Czechoslovakia</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>13</th>\n",
       "      <td>England (UK)</td>\n",
       "      <td>Ada Roe</td>\n",
       "      <td>1858-02-06</td>\n",
       "      <td>1970-01-11</td>\n",
       "      <td>England (UK)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>14</th>\n",
       "      <td>Spain</td>\n",
       "      <td>Josefa Salas Mateo</td>\n",
       "      <td>1860-07-14</td>\n",
       "      <td>1973-02-27</td>\n",
       "      <td>Spain</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>15</th>\n",
       "      <td>England (UK)</td>\n",
       "      <td>Alice Stevenson</td>\n",
       "      <td>1861-07-10</td>\n",
       "      <td>1973-08-18</td>\n",
       "      <td>England (UK)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>16</th>\n",
       "      <td>N. Ireland (UK)</td>\n",
       "      <td>Elizabeth Watkins[2]</td>\n",
       "      <td>1863-03-10</td>\n",
       "      <td>1973-10-31</td>\n",
       "      <td>N. Ireland (UK)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>17</th>\n",
       "      <td>Japan</td>\n",
       "      <td>Mito Umeta</td>\n",
       "      <td>1863-03-27</td>\n",
       "      <td>1975-05-31</td>\n",
       "      <td>Japan (Kumamoto)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>18</th>\n",
       "      <td>Japan</td>\n",
       "      <td>Niwa Kawamoto</td>\n",
       "      <td>1863-08-05</td>\n",
       "      <td>1976-11-16</td>\n",
       "      <td>Japan (Shiga)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>19</th>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (MO)</td>\n",
       "      <td>Sophia De Muth [3]</td>\n",
       "      <td>1866-06-30</td>\n",
       "      <td>1977-12-02</td>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (MO)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>20</th>\n",
       "      <td>France</td>\n",
       "      <td>Marie-Virginie Duhem</td>\n",
       "      <td>1866-08-02</td>\n",
       "      <td>1978-04-25</td>\n",
       "      <td>France</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>21</th>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (IL)</td>\n",
       "      <td>Fannie Thomas</td>\n",
       "      <td>1867-04-14</td>\n",
       "      <td>1981-01-22</td>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (CA)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>22</th>\n",
       "      <td>France</td>\n",
       "      <td>Augustine Teissier</td>\n",
       "      <td>1869-01-02</td>\n",
       "      <td>1981-03-08</td>\n",
       "      <td>France</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>23</th>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (NH)</td>\n",
       "      <td>Nellie Spencer</td>\n",
       "      <td>1869-08-24</td>\n",
       "      <td>1982-11-13</td>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (NJ)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>24</th>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (MO)</td>\n",
       "      <td>Emma Wilson</td>\n",
       "      <td>1870-05-12</td>\n",
       "      <td>1983-10-13</td>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (MO)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>25</th>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (VA)</td>\n",
       "      <td>Mathew Beard[4]</td>\n",
       "      <td>1870-07-09</td>\n",
       "      <td>1985-02-16</td>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (FL)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>26</th>\n",
       "      <td>Germany (now Poland) [5]</td>\n",
       "      <td>Augusta Holtz</td>\n",
       "      <td>1871-08-03</td>\n",
       "      <td>1986-10-21</td>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (MO)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>27</th>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (CA)</td>\n",
       "      <td>Mary McKinney</td>\n",
       "      <td>1873-05-30</td>\n",
       "      <td>1987-02-02</td>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (CA)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>28</th>\n",
       "      <td>England (UK)</td>\n",
       "      <td>Anna Eliza Williams</td>\n",
       "      <td>1873-06-02</td>\n",
       "      <td>1987-12-27</td>\n",
       "      <td>Wales (UK)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>29</th>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (PA)</td>\n",
       "      <td>Florence Knapp</td>\n",
       "      <td>1873-10-10</td>\n",
       "      <td>1988-01-11</td>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (PA)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>...</th>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>35</th>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (MI)</td>\n",
       "      <td>Maud Farris-Luse</td>\n",
       "      <td>1887-01-21</td>\n",
       "      <td>2002-03-18</td>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (MI)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>36</th>\n",
       "      <td>England (UK)</td>\n",
       "      <td>Grace Clawson [7]</td>\n",
       "      <td>1887-11-15</td>\n",
       "      <td>2002-05-28</td>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (FL)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>37</th>\n",
       "      <td>Cape Verde (Portugal)[8]</td>\n",
       "      <td>Adelina Domingues</td>\n",
       "      <td>1888-02-19</td>\n",
       "      <td>2002-08-21</td>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (CA)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>38</th>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (NY)</td>\n",
       "      <td>Mae Harrington</td>\n",
       "      <td>1889-01-20</td>\n",
       "      <td>2002-12-29</td>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (NY)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>39</th>\n",
       "      <td>Japan</td>\n",
       "      <td>Yukichi Chuganji</td>\n",
       "      <td>1889-03-23</td>\n",
       "      <td>2003-09-28</td>\n",
       "      <td>Japan (Fukuoka)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>40</th>\n",
       "      <td>Japan</td>\n",
       "      <td>Mitoyo Kawate</td>\n",
       "      <td>1889-05-15</td>\n",
       "      <td>2003-11-13</td>\n",
       "      <td>Japan (Hiroshima)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>41</th>\n",
       "      <td>Puerto Rico</td>\n",
       "      <td>Ramona Trinidad Iglesias-Jordan[9]</td>\n",
       "      <td>1889-08-31</td>\n",
       "      <td>2004-05-29</td>\n",
       "      <td>Puerto Rico</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>42</th>\n",
       "      <td>Ecuador</td>\n",
       "      <td>Maria Esther de Capovilla[10]</td>\n",
       "      <td>1889-09-14</td>\n",
       "      <td>2006-08-27</td>\n",
       "      <td>Ecuador</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>43</th>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (TN)</td>\n",
       "      <td>Elizabeth Bolden</td>\n",
       "      <td>1890-08-15</td>\n",
       "      <td>2006-12-11</td>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (TN)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>44</th>\n",
       "      <td>Puerto Rico</td>\n",
       "      <td>Emiliano Mercado Del Toro</td>\n",
       "      <td>1891-08-21</td>\n",
       "      <td>2007-01-24</td>\n",
       "      <td>Puerto Rico</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>45</th>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (NC)</td>\n",
       "      <td>Emma Tillman</td>\n",
       "      <td>1892-11-22</td>\n",
       "      <td>2007-01-28</td>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (CT)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>46</th>\n",
       "      <td>Japan</td>\n",
       "      <td>Yone Minagawa</td>\n",
       "      <td>1893-01-04</td>\n",
       "      <td>2007-08-13</td>\n",
       "      <td>Japan (Fukuoka)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>47</th>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (IN)</td>\n",
       "      <td>Edna Parker</td>\n",
       "      <td>1893-04-20</td>\n",
       "      <td>2008-11-26</td>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (IN)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>48</th>\n",
       "      <td>Portugal</td>\n",
       "      <td>Maria de Jesus</td>\n",
       "      <td>1893-09-10</td>\n",
       "      <td>2009-01-02</td>\n",
       "      <td>Portugal</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>49</th>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (GA)</td>\n",
       "      <td>Gertrude Baines</td>\n",
       "      <td>1894-04-06</td>\n",
       "      <td>2009-09-11</td>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (CA)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>50</th>\n",
       "      <td>Japan</td>\n",
       "      <td>Kama Chinen</td>\n",
       "      <td>1895-05-10</td>\n",
       "      <td>2010-05-02</td>\n",
       "      <td>Japan (Okinawa)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>51</th>\n",
       "      <td>France</td>\n",
       "      <td>Eugenie Blanchard</td>\n",
       "      <td>1896-02-16</td>\n",
       "      <td>2010-11-04</td>\n",
       "      <td>France (St. Barts)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>52</th>\n",
       "      <td>Brazil</td>\n",
       "      <td>Maria Gomes Valentim [11]</td>\n",
       "      <td>1896-07-09</td>\n",
       "      <td>2011-06-21</td>\n",
       "      <td>Brazil</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>53</th>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (TN)</td>\n",
       "      <td>Besse Cooper</td>\n",
       "      <td>1896-08-26</td>\n",
       "      <td>2012-12-04</td>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (GA)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>54</th>\n",
       "      <td>Italy</td>\n",
       "      <td>Dina Manfredini</td>\n",
       "      <td>1897-04-04</td>\n",
       "      <td>2012-12-17</td>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (IA)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>55</th>\n",
       "      <td>Japan</td>\n",
       "      <td>Jiroemon Kimura</td>\n",
       "      <td>1897-04-19</td>\n",
       "      <td>2013-06-12</td>\n",
       "      <td>Japan (Kyoto)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>56</th>\n",
       "      <td>Japan</td>\n",
       "      <td>Misao Okawa</td>\n",
       "      <td>1898-03-05</td>\n",
       "      <td>2015-04-01</td>\n",
       "      <td>Japan (Osaka)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>57</th>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (AR)</td>\n",
       "      <td>Gertrude Weaver</td>\n",
       "      <td>1898-07-04</td>\n",
       "      <td>2015-04-06</td>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (AR)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>58</th>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (GA)</td>\n",
       "      <td>Jeralean Talley</td>\n",
       "      <td>1899-05-23</td>\n",
       "      <td>2015-06-17</td>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (MI)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>59</th>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (AL)</td>\n",
       "      <td>Susannah Mushatt Jones</td>\n",
       "      <td>1899-07-06</td>\n",
       "      <td>2016-05-12</td>\n",
       "      <td>U.S. (NY)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>60</th>\n",
       "      <td>Italy</td>\n",
       "      <td>Emma Morano</td>\n",
       "      <td>1899-11-29</td>\n",
       "      <td>2017-04-15</td>\n",
       "      <td>Italy</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>61</th>\n",
       "      <td>British West Indies (now Jamaica)</td>\n",
       "      <td>Violet Brown</td>\n",
       "      <td>1900-03-10</td>\n",
       "      <td>2017-09-15</td>\n",
       "      <td>Jamaica</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>62</th>\n",
       "      <td>Japan</td>\n",
       "      <td>Nabi Tajima</td>\n",
       "      <td>1900-08-04</td>\n",
       "      <td>2018-04-21</td>\n",
       "      <td>Japan (Kagoshima)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>63</th>\n",
       "      <td>Japan</td>\n",
       "      <td>Chiyo Miyako</td>\n",
       "      <td>1901-05-02</td>\n",
       "      <td>2018-07-22</td>\n",
       "      <td>Japan (Kanagawa)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>64</th>\n",
       "      <td>Japan</td>\n",
       "      <td>Kane Tanaka</td>\n",
       "      <td>1903-01-02</td>\n",
       "      <td>NaT</td>\n",
       "      <td>Japan (Fukuoka)</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "  </tbody>\n",
       "</table>\n",
       "<p>65 rows × 5 columns</p>\n",
       "</div>"
      ],
      "text/plain": [
       "                           Birthplace                                Name  \\\n",
       "0                        England (UK)                         Betsy Baker   \n",
       "1                        England (UK)                       Jennie Howell   \n",
       "2                             Denmark               Anne Marie Carstenson   \n",
       "3                           U.S. (IN)                          Nancy Ryan   \n",
       "4                         Netherlands           Christina Karnebeek-Backs   \n",
       "5                              Norway                         Marie Olsen   \n",
       "6                           U.S. (MI)                          Mary Kelly   \n",
       "7                        England (UK)                   Elizabeth Kensley   \n",
       "8                           U.S. (TX)                   William Fullingim   \n",
       "9                        England (UK)                        Hannah Smith   \n",
       "10                       England (UK)                         John Turner   \n",
       "11                       South Africa                     Johanna Booysen   \n",
       "12                     Czechoslovakia                    Marie Bernatkova   \n",
       "13                       England (UK)                             Ada Roe   \n",
       "14                              Spain                  Josefa Salas Mateo   \n",
       "15                       England (UK)                     Alice Stevenson   \n",
       "16                    N. Ireland (UK)                Elizabeth Watkins[2]   \n",
       "17                              Japan                          Mito Umeta   \n",
       "18                              Japan                       Niwa Kawamoto   \n",
       "19                          U.S. (MO)                  Sophia De Muth [3]   \n",
       "20                             France                Marie-Virginie Duhem   \n",
       "21                          U.S. (IL)                       Fannie Thomas   \n",
       "22                             France                  Augustine Teissier   \n",
       "23                          U.S. (NH)                      Nellie Spencer   \n",
       "24                          U.S. (MO)                         Emma Wilson   \n",
       "25                          U.S. (VA)                     Mathew Beard[4]   \n",
       "26           Germany (now Poland) [5]                       Augusta Holtz   \n",
       "27                          U.S. (CA)                       Mary McKinney   \n",
       "28                       England (UK)                 Anna Eliza Williams   \n",
       "29                          U.S. (PA)                      Florence Knapp   \n",
       "..                                ...                                 ...   \n",
       "35                          U.S. (MI)                    Maud Farris-Luse   \n",
       "36                       England (UK)                   Grace Clawson [7]   \n",
       "37           Cape Verde (Portugal)[8]                   Adelina Domingues   \n",
       "38                          U.S. (NY)                      Mae Harrington   \n",
       "39                              Japan                    Yukichi Chuganji   \n",
       "40                              Japan                       Mitoyo Kawate   \n",
       "41                        Puerto Rico  Ramona Trinidad Iglesias-Jordan[9]   \n",
       "42                            Ecuador       Maria Esther de Capovilla[10]   \n",
       "43                          U.S. (TN)                    Elizabeth Bolden   \n",
       "44                        Puerto Rico           Emiliano Mercado Del Toro   \n",
       "45                          U.S. (NC)                        Emma Tillman   \n",
       "46                              Japan                       Yone Minagawa   \n",
       "47                          U.S. (IN)                         Edna Parker   \n",
       "48                           Portugal                      Maria de Jesus   \n",
       "49                          U.S. (GA)                     Gertrude Baines   \n",
       "50                              Japan                         Kama Chinen   \n",
       "51                             France                   Eugenie Blanchard   \n",
       "52                             Brazil           Maria Gomes Valentim [11]   \n",
       "53                          U.S. (TN)                        Besse Cooper   \n",
       "54                              Italy                     Dina Manfredini   \n",
       "55                              Japan                     Jiroemon Kimura   \n",
       "56                              Japan                         Misao Okawa   \n",
       "57                          U.S. (AR)                     Gertrude Weaver   \n",
       "58                          U.S. (GA)                     Jeralean Talley   \n",
       "59                          U.S. (AL)              Susannah Mushatt Jones   \n",
       "60                              Italy                         Emma Morano   \n",
       "61  British West Indies (now Jamaica)                        Violet Brown   \n",
       "62                              Japan                         Nabi Tajima   \n",
       "63                              Japan                        Chiyo Miyako   \n",
       "64                              Japan                         Kane Tanaka   \n",
       "\n",
       "         Born       Died          Deathplace  \n",
       "0  1842-08-20 1955-10-24           U.S. (NE)  \n",
       "1  1845-02-11 1956-12-16           U.S. (CA)  \n",
       "2  1849-01-24 1958-03-30           U.S. (NE)  \n",
       "3  1849-09-05 1958-10-17           U.S. (IN)  \n",
       "4  1849-10-02 1959-10-07         Netherlands  \n",
       "5  1850-05-01 1959-11-24              Norway  \n",
       "6  1851-06-07 1964-12-30           U.S. (CA)  \n",
       "7  1855-05-12 1965-03-06        England (UK)  \n",
       "8  1855-07-07 1965-08-06           U.S. (OK)  \n",
       "9  1856-01-07 1966-01-10        England (UK)  \n",
       "10 1856-06-15 1968-03-21        England (UK)  \n",
       "11 1857-01-17 1968-06-16        South Africa  \n",
       "12 1857-10-22 1969-05-04      Czechoslovakia  \n",
       "13 1858-02-06 1970-01-11        England (UK)  \n",
       "14 1860-07-14 1973-02-27               Spain  \n",
       "15 1861-07-10 1973-08-18        England (UK)  \n",
       "16 1863-03-10 1973-10-31     N. Ireland (UK)  \n",
       "17 1863-03-27 1975-05-31    Japan (Kumamoto)  \n",
       "18 1863-08-05 1976-11-16       Japan (Shiga)  \n",
       "19 1866-06-30 1977-12-02           U.S. (MO)  \n",
       "20 1866-08-02 1978-04-25              France  \n",
       "21 1867-04-14 1981-01-22           U.S. (CA)  \n",
       "22 1869-01-02 1981-03-08              France  \n",
       "23 1869-08-24 1982-11-13           U.S. (NJ)  \n",
       "24 1870-05-12 1983-10-13           U.S. (MO)  \n",
       "25 1870-07-09 1985-02-16           U.S. (FL)  \n",
       "26 1871-08-03 1986-10-21           U.S. (MO)  \n",
       "27 1873-05-30 1987-02-02           U.S. (CA)  \n",
       "28 1873-06-02 1987-12-27          Wales (UK)  \n",
       "29 1873-10-10 1988-01-11           U.S. (PA)  \n",
       "..        ...        ...                 ...  \n",
       "35 1887-01-21 2002-03-18           U.S. (MI)  \n",
       "36 1887-11-15 2002-05-28           U.S. (FL)  \n",
       "37 1888-02-19 2002-08-21           U.S. (CA)  \n",
       "38 1889-01-20 2002-12-29           U.S. (NY)  \n",
       "39 1889-03-23 2003-09-28     Japan (Fukuoka)  \n",
       "40 1889-05-15 2003-11-13   Japan (Hiroshima)  \n",
       "41 1889-08-31 2004-05-29         Puerto Rico  \n",
       "42 1889-09-14 2006-08-27             Ecuador  \n",
       "43 1890-08-15 2006-12-11           U.S. (TN)  \n",
       "44 1891-08-21 2007-01-24         Puerto Rico  \n",
       "45 1892-11-22 2007-01-28           U.S. (CT)  \n",
       "46 1893-01-04 2007-08-13     Japan (Fukuoka)  \n",
       "47 1893-04-20 2008-11-26           U.S. (IN)  \n",
       "48 1893-09-10 2009-01-02            Portugal  \n",
       "49 1894-04-06 2009-09-11           U.S. (CA)  \n",
       "50 1895-05-10 2010-05-02     Japan (Okinawa)  \n",
       "51 1896-02-16 2010-11-04  France (St. Barts)  \n",
       "52 1896-07-09 2011-06-21              Brazil  \n",
       "53 1896-08-26 2012-12-04           U.S. (GA)  \n",
       "54 1897-04-04 2012-12-17           U.S. (IA)  \n",
       "55 1897-04-19 2013-06-12       Japan (Kyoto)  \n",
       "56 1898-03-05 2015-04-01       Japan (Osaka)  \n",
       "57 1898-07-04 2015-04-06           U.S. (AR)  \n",
       "58 1899-05-23 2015-06-17           U.S. (MI)  \n",
       "59 1899-07-06 2016-05-12           U.S. (NY)  \n",
       "60 1899-11-29 2017-04-15               Italy  \n",
       "61 1900-03-10 2017-09-15             Jamaica  \n",
       "62 1900-08-04 2018-04-21   Japan (Kagoshima)  \n",
       "63 1901-05-02 2018-07-22    Japan (Kanagawa)  \n",
       "64 1903-01-02        NaT     Japan (Fukuoka)  \n",
       "\n",
       "[65 rows x 5 columns]"
      ]
     },
     "execution_count": 2,
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "execute_result"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "# Read the oldest people dataset, parsing their birth and death dates as datetime\n",
    "# Print the dataframe to see the results \n",
    "df = pandas.read_csv(\"~/Downloads/oldest-people.csv\", parse_dates=[2, 3])\n",
    "df"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 3,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [],
   "source": [
    "# Extract the month they died\n",
    "\n",
    "df['died_month'] = df.Died.dt.month"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 4,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [],
   "source": [
    "# Lookin at the dataset, we know that the only death which occured in soutern hemisphere \n",
    "# was in South Africa, so let us remove that\n",
    "df = df[df[\"Deathplace\"] != \"South Africa\"]"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 5,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "data": {
      "text/plain": [
       "1.0     7\n",
       "2.0     3\n",
       "3.0     5\n",
       "4.0     6\n",
       "5.0     6\n",
       "6.0     4\n",
       "7.0     1\n",
       "8.0     6\n",
       "9.0     3\n",
       "10.0    6\n",
       "11.0    7\n",
       "12.0    9\n",
       "Name: died_month, dtype: int64"
      ]
     },
     "execution_count": 5,
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "execute_result"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "# Get the count of people, for each month\n",
    "\n",
    "deaths_in_month_count = df['died_month'].value_counts().sort_index()\n",
    "deaths_in_month_count"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 6,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "data": {
      "text/plain": [
       "<matplotlib.axes._subplots.AxesSubplot at 0x10f113860>"
      ]
     },
     "execution_count": 6,
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "execute_result"
    },
    {
     "data": {
      "image/png": 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\n",
      "text/plain": [
       "<Figure size 1152x576 with 1 Axes>"
      ]
     },
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "display_data"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "# Display the chart\n",
    "# Show the winter months in red, and others in Cyan\n",
    "\n",
    "plt.figure(figsize=(16,8))\n",
    "palette=[\"red\"] * 3  +[\"cyan\"] * 8 + [\"red\"] \n",
    "sns.barplot([el for el in calendar.month_name if el], deaths_in_month_count.values, palette=palette, saturation=0.6)"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "markdown",
   "metadata": {},
   "source": [
    "It doesn't look like that there is any statistically sigificant higher `excess winter mortality` amongst the oldest people.\n"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": null,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [],
   "source": []
  }
 ],
 "metadata": {
  "kernelspec": {
   "display_name": "Python 3",
   "language": "python",
   "name": "python3"
  },
  "language_info": {
   "codemirror_mode": {
    "name": "ipython",
    "version": 3
   },
   "file_extension": ".py",
   "mimetype": "text/x-python",
   "name": "python",
   "nbconvert_exporter": "python",
   "pygments_lexer": "ipython3",
   "version": "3.6.1"
  }
 },
 "nbformat": 4,
 "nbformat_minor": 2
}