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Trump and COVID19
Adadakadavra Team

Context

Remember the beginning of 2020, Covid spread like an unprecedent wildfire. The disease was not unkwnon, not understood and scary. Most of the countries decided to lockdown to stop the spread and protect their populations. This resulted in major and global changepoints in mobility :

ADD PLOTS ABOUT THE MOBILITY

This time at home was ideal for cooking, watching cat videos (or play with your cats) and spending time on the internet. Interestingly, the global internet traffic followed the mobility evolutions:

ADD PLOT AND CORRELATION THERE

Main area of searched topics has been studied, you can have a look to : .. . But internet traffic during covid time was not only made of cooking recipes and cats, it also was a proper time for fake news propagation, or as the WHO calls it, an infodemic. The ancestor of X, Twitter was one of the biggest place to propagate information, especially when everything was changing as fast as the premise of the covid crisis. We all know that not all people have the same voice on Twitter, few of them are considered to be the most influential individuals on the network. If you had to bet on of person to be influential on Twitter, who would it be?

Take a few seconds and answer to yourself, who would it be?

I don't know who you got in mind, but for us, it has to be Donald Trump. Before he was evicted from the network, he was one of the most followed account (source?). If you don't remind his tweet's style, here is a refresher : We all know Donald Trump has spread fake news, especially on Twitter, his favorite communication channel.

TO MERGE : Donald Trump’s many tweets during the Covid pandemic spread like wildfire, probably making him one of the most influential figures during the pandemic – but in the end, was he that influential? Will causal analyses of the effect of Trump’s tweets on Wikipedia and Google Trends pageviews show that he was leading or following online trends? Our goal is to study the impact an influential leader can have on information spread in a crisis with a focus on fake news, as an overload of misleading or contradictory statements (an infodemic, as WHO calls it) are known to have a detrimental impact on crisis management. To provide a more comprehensive insight into Trump’s actual influence on online information spread, we would then like to compare it with that of other factors such as mobility restrictions or key milestones (e.g. first Covid death).

Trump the Trend Maker or Trump the Follower, that is the question!

Donald Trump's tweets

Who is causing whom? Let's study Donald Trump's favorite fake news

What's the impact of topics and sentiment in the spread

Introduction

The COVID-19 pandemic has been a global crisis of unprecedented scale and impact, disrupting lives, economies, and societies around the world. It has been characterized by rapid spread, high case numbers, and significant mortality. The pandemic has had a profound impact on healthcare systems, economies, education, and social and mental well-being.

Impact on Healthcare Systems

The COVID-19 pandemic has placed a severe strain on healthcare systems worldwide. Hospitals have been overwhelmed with patients, leading to shortages of beds, ventilators, and personal protective equipment (PPE). Healthcare workers have been under immense pressure, working long hours and facing the risk of infection. The pandemic has also led to delays in non-COVID-19 care, as hospitals have prioritized COVID-19 patients.

Impact on Economies

The COVID-19 pandemic has caused a global economic recession, with GDPs shrinking in most countries. Businesses have been forced to close or reduce their operations, leading to job losses and increased unemployment. The pandemic has also disrupted supply chains and trade, further exacerbating the economic crisis.

Impact on Education

Schools and universities have been closed for extended periods during the pandemic, disrupting education for students of all ages. This has had a significant impact on learning outcomes, particularly for disadvantaged students. Online learning has been offered as an alternative, but it has not been a perfect solution, as many students do not have access to reliable internet or the necessary technology.

Impact on Social and Mental Well-being

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound impact on social and mental well-being. The isolation and social distancing measures required to control the spread of the virus have led to increased loneliness, anxiety, and depression. The pandemic has also exacerbated existing social inequalities, as people from lower-income households and minority groups have been more likely to experience job losses, food insecurity, and housing instability.

Response to the Pandemic

In response to the pandemic, governments around the world have implemented a range of measures, including lockdowns, travel restrictions, mask mandates, and social distancing guidelines. These measures have had varying degrees of success in controlling the spread of the virus. Governments have also invested in vaccine development and distribution, with over 69% of the world's population now fully vaccinated.

The COVID-19 pandemic has been a harrowing experience for humanity, but it has also brought about a renewed sense of global cooperation and solidarity. The pandemic has shown the importance of strong public health systems, robust economic policies, and social cohesion in responding to global crises.

Mobility

During state quarantines and lockdowns, people were forced to stay at home, leading to a sharp decline in mobility. This was reflected in a drop in traffic congestion, public transportation usage, and retail foot traffic. For example, data from Apple Mobility Trends showed a 95% decrease in visits to retail and recreation categories in New York City during the peak of the pandemic.

Internet Consumption

In contrast, internet consumption skyrocketed during state quarantines. As people were spending more time at home, they turned to the internet for work, education, entertainment, and communication. This led to increased traffic on websites, social media platforms, and video streaming services. For instance, Zoom's daily user meetings increased from 10 million in December 2019 to 300 million in April 2020, demonstrating the surge in remote work and online communication during the pandemic.

The increase in internet usage also highlighted the importance of reliable internet connectivity. Many people found themselves struggling to access high-speed internet, which hindered their ability to work, learn, and stay connected with loved ones. This underscored the need for improved internet infrastructure and equitable access to broadband services.

The changes in mobility and internet consumption during the pandemic have had far-reaching consequences. They have reshaped how people work, learn, socialize, and engage with the world around them. As we continue to navigate the pandemic and its aftermath, understanding these changes will be crucial for designing future strategies for urban planning, digital infrastructure, and social support systems.