"No update needed" despite not being the latest version

[rainersigwald]

Is there an existing issue for this?

• I have searched the existing issues

Package ecosystem

NuGet

Package manager version

No response

Language version

No response

Manifest location and content before the Dependabot update

https://github.com/dotnet/msbuild/blob/0dbc421eaafb80f431463a48f2f8a3be32817793/eng/dependabot/Packages.props#L31-L32

dependabot.yml content

https://github.com/dotnet/msbuild/blob/0dbc421eaafb80f431463a48f2f8a3be32817793/.github/dependabot.yml

Updated dependency

https://www.nuget.org/packages/Shouldly, from 3.0.0, expected to 4.2.1.

What you expected to see, versus what you actually saw

I expected to see an update but Dependabot reports none is needed.

Native package manager behavior

No response

Images of the diff or a link to the PR, issue, or logs

https://github.com/dotnet/msbuild/network/updates/654434280

updater | 2023/05/01 01:58:37 INFO <job_654434280> Checking if Shouldly 3.0.0 needs updating
  proxy | 2023/05/01 01:58:37 [040] GET https://azuresearch-usnc.nuget.org:443/query?q=shouldly&prerelease=true&semVerLevel=2.0.0
  proxy | 2023/05/01 01:58:37 [040] 200 https://azuresearch-usnc.nuget.org:443/query?q=shouldly&prerelease=true&semVerLevel=2.0.0
updater | 2023/05/01 01:58:37 INFO <job_654434280> Latest version is 4.2.1
updater | 2023/05/01 01:58:37 INFO <job_654434280> No update needed for Shouldly 3.0.0

Smallest manifest that reproduces the issue

No response

[JanKrivanek]

Is this known? Is any misconfiguration a suspect?
We're still seeing this - e.g.:

updater | 2023/06/12 01:57:30 INFO <job_676475694> Checking if System.Security.Cryptography.Pkcs 7.0.0 needs updating
  proxy | 2023/06/12 01:57:30 [032] GET https://azuresearch-usnc.nuget.org:443/query?q=system.security.cryptography.pkcs&prerelease=true&semVerLevel=2.0.0
  proxy | 2023/06/12 01:57:30 [032] 200 https://azuresearch-usnc.nuget.org:443/query?q=system.security.cryptography.pkcs&prerelease=true&semVerLevel=2.0.0
updater | 2023/06/12 01:57:30 INFO <job_676475694> Latest version is 7.0.1
updater | 2023/06/12 01:57:30 INFO <job_676475694> No update needed for System.Security.Cryptography.Pkcs 7.0.0