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2016-11-27

  • Ran the model with data through 2016-11-26.
  • New feature: removing injured players and capturing dates players are expected to return from injury. If the return date is not available -- e.g., due to game-day decision -- I hold the player out for one day.
  • Fixed bug that caused forecasts (not back-casts) to miss the data from the last actual game day.

2016-12-04

  • Ran the model with data through 2016-12-03.
  • Cleveland fell in the rankings (to number 5), while Houston, Clippers, San Antonio and Golden State are looking strong.

2016-12-11

  • Ran the model with data through 2016-12-10.
  • Houston and Toronto made big gains in the rankings.

2016-12-18

  • Ran the model with data through 2016-12-17
  • Golden State and Houston are still looking strong, with Golden State being the clear favorite. Interestingly, the Clippers fell below Utah, Memphis and Toronto to number 7 overall. FiveThirtyEight has the Clippers tied with Toronto at number 5.

2016-12-25

  • Ran the model with data through 2016-12-24
  • Golden State still on top. Cleveland and San Antonio tied at number 2. Houston and Toronto right behind.

2017-01-01

  • Ran the model with data through 2016-12-31
  • A shocking development: Golden State dropped to number three overall! Could it be because they have not done that well against elite teams do far?

2017-01-08

  • Ran the model with data through 2017-01-07
  • Golden State is still number three overall! Cleveland remains number 1 despite JR Smith being injured.

2017-01-15

  • Golden State back on top!

2017-01-22

  • Golden State still on top

2017-02-05

  • The model basically thinks that Golden State can't lose.

2017-02-12

  • The model basically thinks that Golden State can't lose.