new experiments

NickVeld · Jun 27, 2020 · 53c04c2 · 53c04c2
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diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Germany_Confirmed.png b/output/total_comparison_Germany_Confirmed.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Germany_Confirmed_AE.png b/output/total_comparison_Germany_Confirmed_AE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Germany_Confirmed_ALE.png b/output/total_comparison_Germany_Confirmed_ALE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Germany_Confirmed_APE.png b/output/total_comparison_Germany_Confirmed_APE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Germany_Confirmed_ASE.png b/output/total_comparison_Germany_Confirmed_ASE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Germany_Confirmed_ASPE.png b/output/total_comparison_Germany_Confirmed_ASPE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Germany_Confirmed_diff.png b/output/total_comparison_Germany_Confirmed_diff.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Germany_Deaths.png b/output/total_comparison_Germany_Deaths.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Germany_Deaths_AE.png b/output/total_comparison_Germany_Deaths_AE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Germany_Deaths_ALE.png b/output/total_comparison_Germany_Deaths_ALE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Germany_Deaths_APE.png b/output/total_comparison_Germany_Deaths_APE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Germany_Deaths_ASE.png b/output/total_comparison_Germany_Deaths_ASE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Germany_Deaths_ASPE.png b/output/total_comparison_Germany_Deaths_ASPE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Germany_Deaths_diff.png b/output/total_comparison_Germany_Deaths_diff.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Germany_Recovered.png b/output/total_comparison_Germany_Recovered.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Germany_Recovered_AE.png b/output/total_comparison_Germany_Recovered_AE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Germany_Recovered_ALE.png b/output/total_comparison_Germany_Recovered_ALE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Germany_Recovered_APE.png b/output/total_comparison_Germany_Recovered_APE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Germany_Recovered_ASE.png b/output/total_comparison_Germany_Recovered_ASE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Germany_Recovered_ASPE.png b/output/total_comparison_Germany_Recovered_ASPE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Germany_Recovered_diff.png b/output/total_comparison_Germany_Recovered_diff.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Russia_Confirmed.png b/output/total_comparison_Russia_Confirmed.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Russia_Confirmed_AE.png b/output/total_comparison_Russia_Confirmed_AE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Russia_Confirmed_ALE.png b/output/total_comparison_Russia_Confirmed_ALE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Russia_Confirmed_APE.png b/output/total_comparison_Russia_Confirmed_APE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Russia_Confirmed_ASE.png b/output/total_comparison_Russia_Confirmed_ASE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Russia_Confirmed_ASPE.png b/output/total_comparison_Russia_Confirmed_ASPE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Russia_Confirmed_diff.png b/output/total_comparison_Russia_Confirmed_diff.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Russia_Deaths.png b/output/total_comparison_Russia_Deaths.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Russia_Deaths_AE.png b/output/total_comparison_Russia_Deaths_AE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Russia_Deaths_ALE.png b/output/total_comparison_Russia_Deaths_ALE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Russia_Deaths_APE.png b/output/total_comparison_Russia_Deaths_APE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Russia_Deaths_ASE.png b/output/total_comparison_Russia_Deaths_ASE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Russia_Deaths_ASPE.png b/output/total_comparison_Russia_Deaths_ASPE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Russia_Deaths_diff.png b/output/total_comparison_Russia_Deaths_diff.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Russia_Recovered.png b/output/total_comparison_Russia_Recovered.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Russia_Recovered_AE.png b/output/total_comparison_Russia_Recovered_AE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Russia_Recovered_ALE.png b/output/total_comparison_Russia_Recovered_ALE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Russia_Recovered_APE.png b/output/total_comparison_Russia_Recovered_APE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Russia_Recovered_ASE.png b/output/total_comparison_Russia_Recovered_ASE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Russia_Recovered_ASPE.png b/output/total_comparison_Russia_Recovered_ASPE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_Russia_Recovered_diff.png b/output/total_comparison_Russia_Recovered_diff.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_US_Confirmed.png b/output/total_comparison_US_Confirmed.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_US_Confirmed_AE.png b/output/total_comparison_US_Confirmed_AE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_US_Confirmed_ALE.png b/output/total_comparison_US_Confirmed_ALE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_US_Confirmed_APE.png b/output/total_comparison_US_Confirmed_APE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_US_Confirmed_ASE.png b/output/total_comparison_US_Confirmed_ASE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_US_Confirmed_ASPE.png b/output/total_comparison_US_Confirmed_ASPE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_US_Confirmed_diff.png b/output/total_comparison_US_Confirmed_diff.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_US_Deaths.png b/output/total_comparison_US_Deaths.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_US_Deaths_AE.png b/output/total_comparison_US_Deaths_AE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_US_Deaths_ALE.png b/output/total_comparison_US_Deaths_ALE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_US_Deaths_APE.png b/output/total_comparison_US_Deaths_APE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_US_Deaths_ASE.png b/output/total_comparison_US_Deaths_ASE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_US_Deaths_ASPE.png b/output/total_comparison_US_Deaths_ASPE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_US_Deaths_diff.png b/output/total_comparison_US_Deaths_diff.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_US_Recovered.png b/output/total_comparison_US_Recovered.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_US_Recovered_AE.png b/output/total_comparison_US_Recovered_AE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_US_Recovered_ALE.png b/output/total_comparison_US_Recovered_ALE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_US_Recovered_APE.png b/output/total_comparison_US_Recovered_APE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_US_Recovered_ASE.png b/output/total_comparison_US_Recovered_ASE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_US_Recovered_ASPE.png b/output/total_comparison_US_Recovered_ASPE.png
diff --git a/output/total_comparison_US_Recovered_diff.png b/output/total_comparison_US_Recovered_diff.png
diff --git a/output/total_forecast_Germany_2020-04-21.png b/output/total_forecast_Germany_2020-04-21.png
diff --git a/output/total_forecast_Russia_2020-04-21.png b/output/total_forecast_Russia_2020-04-21.png
diff --git a/output/total_forecast_US_2020-04-21.png b/output/total_forecast_US_2020-04-21.png
diff --git a/output/total_metrics_Confirmed.csv b/output/total_metrics_Confirmed.csv
@@ -1,25 +1,25 @@
-,,MAE,MAE,MAE,MALE,MALE,MALE,MASE,MASE,MASE
+,,MAE,MAE,MAE,MALE,MALE,MALE,MAPE,MAPE,MAPE
 ,,Germany,Russia,US,Germany,Russia,US,Germany,Russia,US
-1,Boost,0.35714285714285715,0.5,1827.7142857142858,2.7282716227037408e-06,1.820414766967661e-05,0.0028564177348758602,0.0001430023452384619,0.00013579008941255117,0.0627279622218677
-1,GDGM,6003.166666666667,3728.4166666666665,24317.916666666668,0.0455445034891347,0.13646347562890795,0.03784801075658261,2.318883075230303,0.8899913921560118,0.7783205066655029
-1,RNN,2013.8671875,1153.328125,15213.447916666666,0.013923771827541884,0.050674149551567994,0.020028424652502153,0.12405625327255367,0.048187855143310775,0.08032803962515037
-1,SEIIHURD,4040.7958630059948,4625.198057634933,35100.732512078015,0.02932325807058895,0.10561557762502169,0.050832502700638015,0.12445855370086534,0.09662400889184702,0.09266712738448667
-1,SEIR,1651.7606794140447,5221.401982222924,3041.776002028375,0.011176203261008866,0.1296991163509512,0.003608476760547112,0.05087506327699032,0.10907917569614196,0.008030392076804858
-1,SIRDp,4144.928571428572,2475.8571428571427,62991.357142857145,0.029565994277165893,0.09403194447325804,0.10008142809303855,1.6596566183685413,0.6723937256025498,2.1618912223018003
-1,SIRFp,4144.928571428572,2478.0,62990.21428571428,0.029565994277165893,0.0940812111627374,0.10007952758086515,1.6596566183685413,0.6729756831286037,2.1618519989394605
-1,SIRp,4130.642857142857,2530.5,69144.85714285714,0.02959470122989168,0.09596127984182415,0.11045800499457933,1.6539365245590025,0.6872336425169215,2.3730820624398214
-5,Boost,19329.285714285714,5436.285714285715,67673.5,0.12553886365996764,0.12295493843976898,0.08360717845681286,9.072160960564455,1.1285625315104244,2.2841062508437964
-5,GDGM,5074.333333333333,5406.083333333333,36347.25,0.03540864981514668,0.11291753901861452,0.047786653374207004,2.113424961821463,0.9936490829392728,1.1164625411532114
-5,RNN,4450.7421875,2781.7578125,9371.9375,0.028531015492527543,0.04705701529109937,0.010654987089084307,0.3213764306087082,0.08884424753676881,0.048664659729362035
-5,SEIIHURD,4739.778709137805,21317.00546601198,61981.58490570367,0.031028715989133412,0.29783223801568887,0.07783019326567124,0.17112350022159742,0.3404130477956593,0.16092258078559696
-5,SEIR,4770.427955568506,23774.170569946004,3568.0774180347216,0.03324757444438914,0.338871066254426,0.005739744343873044,0.17223005110724623,0.3796517233826672,0.009263787420513656
-5,SIRDp,7039.571428571428,12600.785714285714,147075.14285714287,0.045397926519793526,0.3606462793412796,0.21283502481153418,3.3040085411014717,2.6158990480144726,4.964059094678779
-5,SIRFp,7039.571428571428,12609.285714285714,147073.92857142858,0.045397926519793526,0.3607785328961848,0.21283310379997689,3.3040085411014717,2.6176636317803017,4.96401811028178
-5,SIRp,7068.0,12628.57142857143,149815.35714285713,0.045567587214880016,0.36130739223480646,0.2171097579265984,3.317351433316485,2.621667309232184,5.056546413624178
-30,Boost,516250.4285714286,484828.21428571426,2510298.285714286,1.3638578441678562,0.6898536440283725,0.9842029343759113,795.8325117311243,48.59683708480887,111.29561525651808
-30,RNN,12923.979166666666,123189.10416666667,346950.25,0.07619071234494576,0.6461324660315425,0.28384646222753235,3.0650964464998616,1.8996739144402894,2.366500351274478
-30,SEIIHURD,13263.490962250115,2678109.9294739044,1181934.824444821,0.07091418086755223,2.4235567719530158,0.5599727342886435,1.572808130232434,20.649292027247807,4.030908144946153
-30,SEIR,24988.76394896512,3519246.8081642273,212145.9260886924,0.13440026841754102,2.66378369314275,0.14154414940048937,2.963211662393587,27.134791689457785,0.7235092186997129
-30,SIRDp,58225.642857142855,205258.0,647753.1428571428,0.2846272950297439,1.7577628409180008,0.6138430950029049,89.75849130118073,20.57406993330506,28.718533163526306
-30,SIRFp,58225.642857142855,205342.7857142857,647751.5,0.2846272950297439,1.7586540758858162,0.6138409867135856,89.75849130118073,20.582568443546123,28.718460326446536
-30,SIRp,59475.42857142857,204822.42857142858,624027.8571428572,0.2899022872109341,1.7487711444971015,0.5831517683168137,91.68511460080296,20.53041035836826,27.666658059386336
+1,Boost,0.35714285714285715,0.5,1827.7142857142858,2.7282716227037408e-06,1.820414766967661e-05,0.0028564177348758602,2.7282821370036966e-06,1.820453507854282e-05,0.0028582717627755883
+1,GDGM,6003.166666666667,3728.4166666666665,24317.916666666668,0.0455445034891347,0.13646347562890795,0.03784801075658261,0.04443902736114799,0.12707431894556653,0.03709713110392676
+1,RNN,2013.8671875,1153.328125,15213.447916666666,0.013923771827541884,0.050674149551567994,0.020028424652502153,0.014055892379192247,0.05231723540430259,0.020320645705257896
+1,SEIIHURD,4040.7958630059948,4625.198057634933,35100.732512078015,0.02932325807058895,0.10561557762502169,0.050832502700638015,0.029461002546110115,0.11191833099789172,0.04943666946824771
+1,SEIR,1651.7606794140447,5221.401982222924,3041.776002028375,0.011176203261008866,0.1296991163509512,0.003608476760547112,0.011062343953768206,0.13868255231726734,0.0036215126894910132
+1,SIRDp,4144.928571428572,2475.8571428571427,62991.357142857145,0.029565994277165893,0.09403194447325804,0.10008142809303855,0.02988446879918875,0.08958965169507264,0.09520020047676736
+1,SIRFp,4144.928571428572,2478.0,62990.21428571428,0.029565994277165893,0.0940812111627374,0.10007952758086515,0.02988446879918875,0.08963573612564255,0.09519848257050123
+1,SIRp,4130.642857142857,2530.5,69144.85714285714,0.02959470122989168,0.09596127984182415,0.11045800499457933,0.029869255911763117,0.09134560941709212,0.10453732933733344
+5,Boost,19329.285714285714,5436.285714285715,67673.5,0.12553886365996764,0.12295493843976898,0.08360717845681286,0.13425962142238337,0.11916291198166452,0.08848937414352546
+5,GDGM,5074.333333333333,5406.083333333333,36347.25,0.03540864981514668,0.11291753901861452,0.047786653374207004,0.0352468915322289,0.10708791949717726,0.047962505734705195
+5,RNN,4450.7421875,2781.7578125,9371.9375,0.028531015492527543,0.04705701529109937,0.010654987089084307,0.02914440620825028,0.045646789253922036,0.010560345932679183
+5,SEIIHURD,4739.778709137805,21317.00546601198,61981.58490570367,0.031028715989133412,0.29783223801568887,0.07783019326567124,0.03148560429271552,0.3524631540076423,0.07654565454968298
+5,SEIR,4770.427955568506,23774.170569946004,3568.0774180347216,0.03324757444438914,0.338871066254426,0.005739744343873044,0.03328273501933582,0.4078882857496152,0.005766896584116443
+5,SIRDp,7039.571428571428,12600.785714285714,147075.14285714287,0.045397926519793526,0.3606462793412796,0.21283502481153418,0.0468039368981748,0.29955064168729023,0.19166516891699364
+5,SIRFp,7039.571428571428,12609.285714285714,147073.92857142858,0.045397926519793526,0.3607785328961848,0.21283310379997689,0.0468039368981748,0.2996585577990131,0.19166361678595173
+5,SIRp,7068.0,12628.57142857143,149815.35714285713,0.045567587214880016,0.36130739223480646,0.2171097579265984,0.0469870018471652,0.3000311391783907,0.19511726280044508
+30,Boost,516250.4285714286,484828.21428571426,2510298.285714286,1.3638578441678562,0.6898536440283725,0.9842029343759113,2.9585466758102386,1.7291388831182652,1.7567837083900797
+30,RNN,12923.979166666666,123189.10416666667,346950.25,0.07619071234494576,0.6461324660315425,0.28384646222753235,0.07472142978031326,0.47414816337481813,0.24494776191403442
+30,SEIIHURD,13263.490962250115,2678109.9294739044,1181934.824444821,0.07091418086755223,2.4235567719530158,0.5599727342886435,0.0746643595737898,10.333012991839176,0.9066587828058748
+30,SEIR,24988.76394896512,3519246.8081642273,212145.9260886924,0.13440026841754102,2.66378369314275,0.14154414940048937,0.14501387006119598,13.463423401180943,0.1529424855896182
+30,SIRDp,58225.642857142855,205258.0,647753.1428571428,0.2846272950297439,1.7577628409180008,0.6138430950029049,0.3318924012142231,0.814136780486867,0.4563403580462909
+30,SIRFp,58225.642857142855,205342.7857142857,647751.5,0.2846272950297439,1.7586540758858162,0.6138409867135856,0.3318924012142231,0.8144048816717042,0.45633921804114436
+30,SIRp,59475.42857142857,204822.42857142858,624027.8571428572,0.2899022872109341,1.7487711444971015,0.5831517683168137,0.3390164673366053,0.8125103772288649,0.43965635851302204
diff --git a/output/total_metrics_Confirmed.tex b/output/total_metrics_Confirmed.tex
@@ -1,24 +1,24 @@
- & MAE_Germany & MAE_Russia & MAE_US & MALE_Germany & MALE_Russia & MALE_US & MASE_Germany & MASE_Russia & MASE_US \\
-1_Boost & 0.4 & 0.5 & 1827.7 & 0.0 & 0.0 & 0.003 & 0.0 & 0.0 & 0.063 \\
-1_GDGM & 6003.2 & 3728.4 & 24317.9 & 0.046 & 0.136 & 0.038 & 2.319 & 0.89 & 0.778 \\
-1_RNN & 2013.9 & 1153.3 & 15213.4 & 0.014 & 0.051 & 0.02 & 0.124 & 0.048 & 0.08 \\
-1_SEIIHURD & 4040.8 & 4625.2 & 35100.7 & 0.029 & 0.106 & 0.051 & 0.124 & 0.097 & 0.093 \\
-1_SEIR & 1651.8 & 5221.4 & 3041.8 & 0.011 & 0.13 & 0.004 & 0.051 & 0.109 & 0.008 \\
-1_SIRDp & 4144.9 & 2475.9 & 62991.4 & 0.03 & 0.094 & 0.1 & 1.66 & 0.672 & 2.162 \\
-1_SIRFp & 4144.9 & 2478.0 & 62990.2 & 0.03 & 0.094 & 0.1 & 1.66 & 0.673 & 2.162 \\
-1_SIRp & 4130.6 & 2530.5 & 69144.9 & 0.03 & 0.096 & 0.11 & 1.654 & 0.687 & 2.373 \\
-5_Boost & 19329.3 & 5436.3 & 67673.5 & 0.126 & 0.123 & 0.084 & 9.072 & 1.129 & 2.284 \\
-5_GDGM & 5074.3 & 5406.1 & 36347.2 & 0.035 & 0.113 & 0.048 & 2.113 & 0.994 & 1.116 \\
-5_RNN & 4450.7 & 2781.8 & 9371.9 & 0.029 & 0.047 & 0.011 & 0.321 & 0.089 & 0.049 \\
-5_SEIIHURD & 4739.8 & 21317.0 & 61981.6 & 0.031 & 0.298 & 0.078 & 0.171 & 0.34 & 0.161 \\
-5_SEIR & 4770.4 & 23774.2 & 3568.1 & 0.033 & 0.339 & 0.006 & 0.172 & 0.38 & 0.009 \\
-5_SIRDp & 7039.6 & 12600.8 & 147075.1 & 0.045 & 0.361 & 0.213 & 3.304 & 2.616 & 4.964 \\
-5_SIRFp & 7039.6 & 12609.3 & 147073.9 & 0.045 & 0.361 & 0.213 & 3.304 & 2.618 & 4.964 \\
-5_SIRp & 7068.0 & 12628.6 & 149815.4 & 0.046 & 0.361 & 0.217 & 3.317 & 2.622 & 5.057 \\
-30_Boost & 516250.4 & 484828.2 & 2510298.3 & 1.364 & 0.69 & 0.984 & 795.833 & 48.597 & 111.296 \\
-30_RNN & 12924.0 & 123189.1 & 346950.2 & 0.076 & 0.646 & 0.284 & 3.065 & 1.9 & 2.367 \\
-30_SEIIHURD & 13263.5 & 2678109.9 & 1181934.8 & 0.071 & 2.424 & 0.56 & 1.573 & 20.649 & 4.031 \\
-30_SEIR & 24988.8 & 3519246.8 & 212145.9 & 0.134 & 2.664 & 0.142 & 2.963 & 27.135 & 0.724 \\
-30_SIRDp & 58225.6 & 205258.0 & 647753.1 & 0.285 & 1.758 & 0.614 & 89.758 & 20.574 & 28.719 \\
-30_SIRFp & 58225.6 & 205342.8 & 647751.5 & 0.285 & 1.759 & 0.614 & 89.758 & 20.583 & 28.718 \\
-30_SIRp & 59475.4 & 204822.4 & 624027.9 & 0.29 & 1.749 & 0.583 & 91.685 & 20.53 & 27.667
+ & MAE_Germany & MAE_Russia & MAE_US & MALE_Germany & MALE_Russia & MALE_US & MAPE_Germany & MAPE_Russia & MAPE_US \\
+1_Boost & 0.4 & 0.5 & 1827.7 & 0.0 & 0.0 & 0.003 & 2.7282821370036966e-06 & 1.820453507854282e-05 & 0.0028582717627755883 \\
+1_GDGM & 6003.2 & 3728.4 & 24317.9 & 0.046 & 0.136 & 0.038 & 0.04443902736114799 & 0.12707431894556653 & 0.03709713110392676 \\
+1_RNN & 2013.9 & 1153.3 & 15213.4 & 0.014 & 0.051 & 0.02 & 0.014055892379192247 & 0.05231723540430259 & 0.020320645705257896 \\
+1_SEIIHURD & 4040.8 & 4625.2 & 35100.7 & 0.029 & 0.106 & 0.051 & 0.029461002546110115 & 0.11191833099789172 & 0.04943666946824771 \\
+1_SEIR & 1651.8 & 5221.4 & 3041.8 & 0.011 & 0.13 & 0.004 & 0.011062343953768206 & 0.13868255231726734 & 0.0036215126894910132 \\
+1_SIRDp & 4144.9 & 2475.9 & 62991.4 & 0.03 & 0.094 & 0.1 & 0.02988446879918875 & 0.08958965169507264 & 0.09520020047676736 \\
+1_SIRFp & 4144.9 & 2478.0 & 62990.2 & 0.03 & 0.094 & 0.1 & 0.02988446879918875 & 0.08963573612564255 & 0.09519848257050123 \\
+1_SIRp & 4130.6 & 2530.5 & 69144.9 & 0.03 & 0.096 & 0.11 & 0.029869255911763117 & 0.09134560941709212 & 0.10453732933733344 \\
+5_Boost & 19329.3 & 5436.3 & 67673.5 & 0.126 & 0.123 & 0.084 & 0.13425962142238337 & 0.11916291198166452 & 0.08848937414352546 \\
+5_GDGM & 5074.3 & 5406.1 & 36347.2 & 0.035 & 0.113 & 0.048 & 0.0352468915322289 & 0.10708791949717726 & 0.047962505734705195 \\
+5_RNN & 4450.7 & 2781.8 & 9371.9 & 0.029 & 0.047 & 0.011 & 0.02914440620825028 & 0.045646789253922036 & 0.010560345932679183 \\
+5_SEIIHURD & 4739.8 & 21317.0 & 61981.6 & 0.031 & 0.298 & 0.078 & 0.03148560429271552 & 0.3524631540076423 & 0.07654565454968298 \\
+5_SEIR & 4770.4 & 23774.2 & 3568.1 & 0.033 & 0.339 & 0.006 & 0.03328273501933582 & 0.4078882857496152 & 0.005766896584116443 \\
+5_SIRDp & 7039.6 & 12600.8 & 147075.1 & 0.045 & 0.361 & 0.213 & 0.0468039368981748 & 0.29955064168729023 & 0.19166516891699364 \\
+5_SIRFp & 7039.6 & 12609.3 & 147073.9 & 0.045 & 0.361 & 0.213 & 0.0468039368981748 & 0.2996585577990131 & 0.19166361678595173 \\
+5_SIRp & 7068.0 & 12628.6 & 149815.4 & 0.046 & 0.361 & 0.217 & 0.0469870018471652 & 0.3000311391783907 & 0.19511726280044508 \\
+30_Boost & 516250.4 & 484828.2 & 2510298.3 & 1.364 & 0.69 & 0.984 & 2.9585466758102386 & 1.7291388831182652 & 1.7567837083900797 \\
+30_RNN & 12924.0 & 123189.1 & 346950.2 & 0.076 & 0.646 & 0.284 & 0.07472142978031326 & 0.47414816337481813 & 0.24494776191403442 \\
+30_SEIIHURD & 13263.5 & 2678109.9 & 1181934.8 & 0.071 & 2.424 & 0.56 & 0.0746643595737898 & 10.333012991839176 & 0.9066587828058748 \\
+30_SEIR & 24988.8 & 3519246.8 & 212145.9 & 0.134 & 2.664 & 0.142 & 0.14501387006119598 & 13.463423401180943 & 0.1529424855896182 \\
+30_SIRDp & 58225.6 & 205258.0 & 647753.1 & 0.285 & 1.758 & 0.614 & 0.3318924012142231 & 0.814136780486867 & 0.4563403580462909 \\
+30_SIRFp & 58225.6 & 205342.8 & 647751.5 & 0.285 & 1.759 & 0.614 & 0.3318924012142231 & 0.8144048816717042 & 0.45633921804114436 \\
+30_SIRp & 59475.4 & 204822.4 & 624027.9 & 0.29 & 1.749 & 0.583 & 0.3390164673366053 & 0.8125103772288649 & 0.43965635851302204
diff --git a/output/total_metrics_Deaths.csv b/output/total_metrics_Deaths.csv
@@ -1,19 +1,19 @@
-,,MAE,MAE,MAE,MALE,MALE,MALE,MASE,MASE,MASE
+,,MAE,MAE,MAE,MALE,MALE,MALE,MAPE,MAPE,MAPE
 ,,Germany,Russia,US,Germany,Russia,US,Germany,Russia,US
-1,Boost,0.6428571428571429,0.21428571428571427,2663.1428571428573,0.00016023695048555573,0.0009539997657063478,0.10290339728026356,0.0030567457414567875,0.006374632232755802,1.1485156960873522
-1,GDGM,385.1666666666667,42.333333333333336,1675.6666666666667,0.08618376685452922,0.12430579865353024,0.0462703423423948,1.569546318935072,0.7532621589561092,0.6112894596040664
-1,RNN,99.03662109375,2.5918197631835938,2476.1373697916665,0.028663127466585378,0.008517607645241452,0.10663854955232406,0.0741292074055015,0.011861875346378004,0.16428724587258933
-1,SEIIHURD,604.0932681192589,52.85384581478923,13071.011532934059,0.1999735731468939,0.13507477592745737,0.4996832998167192,0.22608280992487237,0.12094701559448337,0.4336190131679292
-1,SIRDp,1594.142857142857,14.928571428571429,1561.857142857143,0.5136900578574709,0.06881709167492804,0.055358664286815705,7.580050161981398,0.44409937888198764,0.673571618137701
-1,SIRFp,1594.142857142857,18.642857142857142,1561.9285714285713,0.5136900578574709,0.07679948965850582,0.05536066511515877,7.580050161981398,0.5545930042497549,0.6736024226569608
-5,Boost,370.7857142857143,119.42857142857143,2623.0714285714284,0.0688087801334653,0.2521868826863528,0.06733323490990656,1.7326435246995995,2.591938945862151,1.0876129420287872
-5,GDGM,436.0,41.833333333333336,6394.333333333333,0.07835815559557434,0.07926572451641029,0.12206817426979039,1.9569120287253141,0.6115984405458089,2.5003258517765437
-5,RNN,374.5161946614583,56.085673014322914,3007.1126302083335,0.09005348210734208,0.151532471879336,0.07612342297607473,0.26924241169048047,0.18726435063212993,0.19182295985764256
-5,SEIIHURD,647.3999471720667,179.31145946222853,15683.552664001018,0.17575213828361497,0.212219193316671,0.4755820302365138,0.23271026138463938,0.2993513513559742,0.5002249438331585
-5,SIRDp,2018.9285714285713,35.642857142857146,1896.7857142857142,0.5438024344020962,0.12133498533048369,0.04530431731149521,9.434245660881174,0.773551156689721,0.7864706498808498
-5,SIRFp,2018.9285714285713,43.714285714285715,1896.7857142857142,0.5438024344020962,0.13397462041304292,0.04530538827343629,9.434245660881174,0.9487240639160505,0.7864706498808498
-30,Boost,31085.35714285714,25811.14285714286,148007.92857142858,1.1072828790994074,0.8536227566666036,0.8726739771988277,583.1307977736549,243.85527408637876,109.81069920263506
-30,RNN,1800.0064290364583,933.6659749348959,41145.002604166664,0.30277697027810774,0.46472885538852576,0.6866816704496496,5.194823749022968,1.3570726379867672,4.696381988833085
-30,SEIIHURD,1272.406366633756,23916.546018556146,34423.05999194537,0.20375300014020375,2.279350890954723,0.4202684040789636,1.8360842231367331,17.381210769299525,1.964562264121982
-30,SIRDp,2415.5714285714284,914.1428571428571,19066.85714285714,0.3670591821045285,0.6128402924609786,0.18957869811819889,45.31374974232117,8.636524086378738,14.146167267272164
-30,SIRFp,2415.5714285714284,1006.5714285714286,19066.571428571428,0.3670591821045285,0.6562513192873565,0.18957565638814142,45.31374974232117,9.509759136212624,14.14595528886135
+1,Boost,0.6428571428571429,0.21428571428571427,2663.1428571428573,0.00016023695048555573,0.0009539997657063478,0.10290339728026356,0.00016025795139450777,0.0009562561391197441,0.11172972565061635
+1,GDGM,385.1666666666667,42.333333333333336,1675.6666666666667,0.08618376685452922,0.12430579865353024,0.0462703423423948,0.08203375775122657,0.1168821836804198,0.04402008568704452
+1,RNN,99.03662109375,2.5918197631835938,2476.1373697916665,0.028663127466585378,0.008517607645241452,0.10663854955232406,0.028067764388357303,0.008614107761757825,0.11759770986663216
+1,SEIIHURD,604.0932681192589,52.85384581478923,13071.011532934059,0.1999735731468939,0.13507477592745737,0.4996832998167192,0.1780362130306713,0.14189322746677757,0.39140235705852605
+1,SIRDp,1594.142857142857,14.928571428571429,1561.857142857143,0.5136900578574709,0.06881709167492804,0.055358664286815705,0.39818902150878427,0.06662490752846657,0.05750886369093139
+1,SIRFp,1594.142857142857,18.642857142857142,1561.9285714285713,0.5136900578574709,0.07679948965850582,0.05536066511515877,0.39818902150878427,0.07390236041995456,0.05751080610986453
+5,Boost,370.7857142857143,119.42857142857143,2623.0714285714284,0.0688087801334653,0.2521868826863528,0.06733323490990656,0.07301348143841911,0.2724446805715576,0.0712098853762845
+5,GDGM,436.0,41.833333333333336,6394.333333333333,0.07835815559557434,0.07926572451641029,0.12206817426979039,0.07731244599611779,0.07796155437098795,0.13063026979063772
+5,RNN,374.5161946614583,56.085673014322914,3007.1126302083335,0.09005348210734208,0.151532471879336,0.07612342297607473,0.08559136588859184,0.14007542747204352,0.07520853162239842
+5,SEIIHURD,647.3999471720667,179.31145946222853,15683.552664001018,0.17575213828361497,0.212219193316671,0.4755820302365138,0.1591372483239485,0.25500630843973854,0.37545149031796654
+5,SIRDp,2018.9285714285713,35.642857142857146,1896.7857142857142,0.5438024344020962,0.12133498533048369,0.04530431731149521,0.4167123682064903,0.11300131185196631,0.046708741598535115
+5,SIRFp,2018.9285714285713,43.714285714285715,1896.7857142857142,0.5438024344020962,0.13397462041304292,0.04530538827343629,0.4167123682064903,0.12412171741206378,0.046710020809909616
+30,Boost,31085.35714285714,25811.14285714286,148007.92857142858,1.1072828790994074,0.8536227566666036,0.8726739771988277,3.8554425195498254,9.117557478397657,1.6679986731076022
+30,RNN,1800.0064290364583,933.6659749348959,41145.002604166664,0.30277697027810774,0.46472885538852576,0.6866816704496496,0.2355369498454304,0.33960987315963714,0.484321344054389
+30,SEIIHURD,1272.406366633756,23916.546018556146,34423.05999194537,0.20375300014020375,2.279350890954723,0.4202684040789636,0.1689831208900377,9.144651087366363,0.4017107566843222
+30,SIRDp,2415.5714285714284,914.1428571428571,19066.85714285714,0.3670591821045285,0.6128402924609786,0.18957869811819889,0.3071387391648254,0.4206789397779848,0.21427393361806304
+30,SIRFp,2415.5714285714284,1006.5714285714286,19066.571428571428,0.3670591821045285,0.6562513192873565,0.18957565638814142,0.3071387391648254,0.4506138315052131,0.21427048494993714