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Improve solar and wind modeling #284

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Nov 21, 2024
Merged

Improve solar and wind modeling #284

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80648d3
small improvement
lindnemi Nov 20, 2024
aa1adf0
implement delay of BalWin 1 & 3
lindnemi Nov 20, 2024
a43992e
reduce onwind capacity per sqkm from 3 to 2
lindnemi Nov 20, 2024
c1a5b73
add correction_factor for wind, round correction factor for solar
lindnemi Nov 20, 2024
3383a24
rename scenario
lindnemi Nov 20, 2024
099b66d
increase memory resources
lindnemi Nov 20, 2024
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4 changes: 2 additions & 2 deletions ariadne-data/offshore_connection_points.csv
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Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
Expand Up @@ -17,8 +17,8 @@ NOR-3-3,,DC-ONAS NOR-3-3 (DolWin6),Emden / Ost (TenneT),90.0,900,2023.0,NEP2023
NOR-6-3,,DC-ONAS NOR-6-3 (BorWin4),Hanekenfähr (Amprion),264.0,900,2028.0,NEP2023 Startnetz,52.475798,7.307034
NOR-7-1,,DC-ONAS NOR-7-1 (BorWin5),Garrel / Ost (TenneT),225.0,900,2025.0,NEP2023 Startnetz,52.945885,8.075682
NOR-7-2,,DC-ONAS NOR-7-2 (BorWin6),Büttel (TenneT),235.0,980,2027.0,NEP2023 Startnetz,53.917758,9.234576
NOR-9-1,M243,HGÜ-Verbindung NOR-9-1 (BalWin1),Wehrendorf (Amprion),363.0,2000,2029.0,Szenario B/C 2045,52.347253,8.307983
NOR-9-2,M236,HGÜ-Verbindung NOR-9-2 (BalWin3),Wilhelmshaven 2 (TenneT),250.0,2000,2029.0,Szenario B/C 2045,53.56214,8.12915
NOR-9-1,M243,HGÜ-Verbindung NOR-9-1 (BalWin1),Wehrendorf (Amprion),363.0,2000,2030.0,Szenario B/C 2045,52.347253,8.307983
NOR-9-2,M236,HGÜ-Verbindung NOR-9-2 (BalWin3),Wilhelmshaven 2 (TenneT),250.0,2000,2031.0,Szenario B/C 2045,53.56214,8.12915
NOR-9-3,M234,HGÜ-Verbindung NOR-9-3 (BalWin4),Unterweser (TenneT),265.0,2000,2029.0,Szenario B/C 2045,53.428708,8.472726
NOR-10-1,M39,HGÜ-Verbindung NOR-10-1 (BalWin2),Westerkappeln (Amprion),371.0,2000,2030.0,Szenario B/C 2045,52.275966,7.887789
NOR-11-1,M233,HGÜ-Verbindung NOR-11-1 (LanWin3),Suchraum Heide (50Hertz),215.0,2000,2030.0,Szenario B/C 2045,54.16277,9.05231
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13 changes: 9 additions & 4 deletions config/config.yaml
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Expand Up @@ -4,7 +4,7 @@

# docs in https://pypsa-eur.readthedocs.io/en/latest/configuration.html#run
run:
prefix: 20241113-export-kernnetz-invest
prefix: 20241120-correct-wind

name:
# - CurrentPolicies
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -104,7 +104,9 @@ atlite:

renewable:
onwind:
capacity_per_sqkm: 2
cutout: europe-2019-sarah3-era5
correction_factor: 0.95
resource:
smooth: false #this is false until correction to onshore wind speeds from GWA implemented
#based on Vestas_V112_3MW, but changing hub_height from 80m with time
Expand All @@ -128,6 +130,7 @@ renewable:
capacity_per_sqkm: 6
landfall_length: 30
cutout: europe-2019-sarah3-era5
correction_factor: 0.95
resource:
smooth: true
#based on NREL_ReferenceTurbine_2020ATB_5.5MW, but changing hub_height from 80m with time
Expand All @@ -151,6 +154,7 @@ renewable:
capacity_per_sqkm: 6
landfall_length: 30
cutout: europe-2019-sarah3-era5
correction_factor: 0.95
resource:
smooth: true
#based on NREL_ReferenceTurbine_2020ATB_5.5MW, but changing hub_height from 80m with time
Expand All @@ -174,12 +178,13 @@ renewable:
landfall_length: 30
capacity_per_sqkm: 6
cutout: europe-2019-sarah3-era5
correction_factor: 0.95
solar:
cutout: europe-2019-sarah3-era5
correction_factor: 0.918 # scaling to Abbildung 36 of https://www.ise.fraunhofer.de/de/veroeffentlichungen/studien/aktuelle-fakten-zur-photovoltaik-in-deutschland.html
correction_factor: 0.9 # scaling to Abbildung 36 of https://www.ise.fraunhofer.de/de/veroeffentlichungen/studien/aktuelle-fakten-zur-photovoltaik-in-deutschland.html
solar-hsat:
cutout: europe-2019-sarah3-era5
correction_factor: 0.918 # scaling to Abbildung 36 of https://www.ise.fraunhofer.de/de/veroeffentlichungen/studien/aktuelle-fakten-zur-photovoltaik-in-deutschland.html
correction_factor: 0.9 # scaling to Abbildung 36 of https://www.ise.fraunhofer.de/de/veroeffentlichungen/studien/aktuelle-fakten-zur-photovoltaik-in-deutschland.html
hydro:
cutout: europe-2019-sarah3-era5

Expand Down Expand Up @@ -441,7 +446,7 @@ solving:
DE:
2020: 7.8
2025: 11.3
2030: 31.3 # uba Projektionsbericht
2030: 29.3 # uba Projektionsbericht and NEP without delayed BalWin 3
2035: 70
2040: 70
2045: 70
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4 changes: 2 additions & 2 deletions workflow/Snakefile
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Expand Up @@ -280,7 +280,7 @@ rule modify_prenetwork:
network=RESULTS
+ "prenetworks-final/base_s_{clusters}_l{ll}_{opts}_{sector_opts}_{planning_horizons}.nc",
resources:
mem_mb=2000,
mem_mb=4000,
log:
RESULTS
+ "logs/modify_prenetwork_base_s_{clusters}_l{ll}_{opts}_{sector_opts}_{planning_horizons}.log",
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -520,7 +520,7 @@ rule export_ariadne_variables:
exported_variables_full=RESULTS + "ariadne/exported_variables_full.xlsx",
resources:
# A heuristic to assign more memory for larger networks. Should probably be quadratic??
mem_mb=(lambda w: 320 * int(config_provider("scenario", "clusters")(w)[0])),
mem_mb=(lambda w: 400 * int(config_provider("scenario", "clusters")(w)[0])),
log:
RESULTS + "logs/export_ariadne_variables.log",
script:
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4 changes: 2 additions & 2 deletions workflow/scripts/export_ariadne_variables.py
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Expand Up @@ -494,9 +494,9 @@ def _get_capacities(n, region, cap_func, cap_string="Capacity|"):
# var[cap_string + "Electricity|Gas|CC|w/o CCS"] =
# ! Not implemented, rarely used

var[cap_string + "Electricity|Gas|CC"] = capacities_electricity.get("CCGT")
var[cap_string + "Electricity|Gas|CC"] = capacities_electricity.get("CCGT", 0)

var[cap_string + "Electricity|Gas|OC"] = capacities_electricity.get("OCGT")
var[cap_string + "Electricity|Gas|OC"] = capacities_electricity.get("OCGT", 0)

var[cap_string + "Electricity|Gas|w/ CCS"] = capacities_electricity.get(
"urban central gas CHP CC", 0
Expand Down
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