Update base for Update on "compiler: Add support for ref effects"

Fixes false positives where we currently disallow mutations of refs from callbacks passed to JSX, if the ref is also passed to jsx. We consider these to be mutations of "frozen" values, but refs are explicitly allowed to have interior mutability. The fix is to always allow (at leat within InferReferenceEffects) for refs to be mutated. This means we completely rely on ValidateNoRefAccessInRender to validate ref access and stop reporting false positives.

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