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Add DeseasonalityTransform (#1307)
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ostreech1997 authored Jul 6, 2023
1 parent 991c648 commit e486a24
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2 changes: 1 addition & 1 deletion CHANGELOG.md
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Expand Up @@ -7,7 +7,7 @@ and this project adheres to [Semantic Versioning](https://semver.org/spec/v2.0.0

## Unreleased
### Added
-
- `DeseasonalityTransform` ([#1307](https://github.com/tinkoff-ai/etna/pull/1307))
-
- Add extension with models from `statsforecast`: `StatsForecastARIMAModel`, `StatsForecastAutoARIMAModel`, `StatsForecastAutoCESModel`, `StatsForecastAutoETSModel`, `StatsForecastAutoThetaModel` ([#1295](https://github.com/tinkoff-ai/etna/pull/1297))
-
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1 change: 1 addition & 0 deletions etna/transforms/__init__.py
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from etna.transforms.decomposition import ChangePointsLevelTransform
from etna.transforms.decomposition import ChangePointsSegmentationTransform
from etna.transforms.decomposition import ChangePointsTrendTransform
from etna.transforms.decomposition import DeseasonalityTransform
from etna.transforms.decomposition import IrreversibleChangePointsTransform
from etna.transforms.decomposition import LinearTrendTransform
from etna.transforms.decomposition import ReversibleChangePointsTransform
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1 change: 1 addition & 0 deletions etna/transforms/decomposition/__init__.py
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from etna.transforms.decomposition.change_points_based.change_points_models import RupturesChangePointsModel
from etna.transforms.decomposition.change_points_based.level import ChangePointsLevelTransform
from etna.transforms.decomposition.change_points_based.trend import TrendTransform
from etna.transforms.decomposition.deseasonal import DeseasonalityTransform
from etna.transforms.decomposition.detrend import LinearTrendTransform
from etna.transforms.decomposition.detrend import TheilSenTrendTransform
from etna.transforms.decomposition.stl import STLTransform
229 changes: 229 additions & 0 deletions etna/transforms/decomposition/deseasonal.py
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from enum import Enum
from typing import Dict
from typing import List
from typing import Literal
from typing import Optional

import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
from statsmodels.tsa.seasonal import seasonal_decompose

from etna.distributions import BaseDistribution
from etna.distributions import CategoricalDistribution
from etna.models.utils import determine_freq
from etna.models.utils import determine_num_steps
from etna.transforms.base import OneSegmentTransform
from etna.transforms.base import ReversiblePerSegmentWrapper
from etna.transforms.utils import match_target_quantiles


class DeseasonalModel(str, Enum):
"""Enum for different types of deseasonality model."""

additive = "additive"
multiplicative = "multiplicative"

@classmethod
def _missing_(cls, value):
raise NotImplementedError(
f"{value} is not a valid {cls.__name__}. Only {', '.join([repr(m.value) for m in cls])} types allowed."
)


class _OneSegmentDeseasonalityTransform(OneSegmentTransform):
def __init__(self, in_column: str, period: int, model: str = DeseasonalModel.additive):
"""
Init _OneSegmentDeseasonalityTransform.
Parameters
----------
in_column:
name of processed column
period:
size of seasonality
model:
'additive' (default) or 'multiplicative'
"""
self.in_column = in_column
self.period = period
self.model = DeseasonalModel(model)
self._seasonal: Optional[pd.Series] = None

def _roll_seasonal(self, x: pd.Series) -> np.ndarray:
"""
Roll out seasonal component by x's time index.
Parameters
----------
x:
processed column
Returns
-------
result:
seasonal component
"""
if self._seasonal is None:
raise ValueError("Transform is not fitted! Fit the Transform before calling.")
freq = determine_freq(x.index)
if self._seasonal.index[0] <= x.index[0]:
shift = -determine_num_steps(self._seasonal.index[0], x.index[0], freq) % self.period
else:
shift = determine_num_steps(x.index[0], self._seasonal.index[0], freq) % self.period
return np.resize(np.roll(self._seasonal, shift=shift), x.shape[0])

def fit(self, df: pd.DataFrame) -> "_OneSegmentDeseasonalityTransform":
"""
Perform seasonal decomposition.
Parameters
----------
df:
Features dataframe with time
Returns
-------
result:
instance after processing
Raises
------
ValueError:
if input column contains NaNs in the middle of the series
"""
df = df.loc[df[self.in_column].first_valid_index() : df[self.in_column].last_valid_index()]
if df[self.in_column].isnull().values.any():
raise ValueError("The input column contains NaNs in the middle of the series! Try to use the imputer.")
self._seasonal = seasonal_decompose(
x=df[self.in_column], model=self.model, filt=None, two_sided=False, extrapolate_trend=0
).seasonal[: self.period]
return self

def transform(self, df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame:
"""
Subtract seasonal component.
Parameters
----------
df:
Features dataframe with time
Returns
-------
result:
Dataframe with extracted features
Raises
------
ValueError:
if input column contains zero or negative values
"""
result = df
seasonal = self._roll_seasonal(result[self.in_column])
if self.model == "additive":
result[self.in_column] -= seasonal
else:
if np.any(result[self.in_column] <= 0):
raise ValueError(
"The input column contains zero or negative values,"
"but multiplicative seasonality can not work with such values."
)
result[self.in_column] /= seasonal
return result

def inverse_transform(self, df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame:
"""
Add seasonal component.
Parameters
----------
df:
Features dataframe with time
Returns
-------
result:
Dataframe with extracted features
Raises
------
ValueError:
if input column contains zero or negative values
ValueError:
if quantile columns contains zero or negative values
"""
result = df
seasonal = self._roll_seasonal(result[self.in_column])
if self.model == "additive":
result[self.in_column] += seasonal
else:
if np.any(result[self.in_column] <= 0):
raise ValueError(
"The input column contains zero or negative values,"
"but multiplicative seasonality can not work with such values."
)
result[self.in_column] *= seasonal
if self.in_column == "target":
quantiles = match_target_quantiles(set(result.columns))
for quantile_column_nm in quantiles:
if self.model == "additive":
result.loc[:, quantile_column_nm] += seasonal
else:
if np.any(result.loc[quantile_column_nm] <= 0):
raise ValueError(
f"The {quantile_column_nm} column contains zero or negative values,"
"but multiplicative seasonality can not work with such values."
)
result.loc[:, quantile_column_nm] *= seasonal
return result


class DeseasonalityTransform(ReversiblePerSegmentWrapper):
"""Transform that uses :py:func:`statsmodels.tsa.seasonal.seasonal_decompose` to subtract seasonal component from the data.
Warning
-------
This transform can suffer from look-ahead bias. For transforming data at some timestamp
it uses information from the whole train part.
"""

def __init__(self, in_column: str, period: int, model: Literal["additive", "multiplicative"] = "additive"):
"""
Init DeseasonalityTransform.
Parameters
----------
in_column:
name of processed column
period:
size of seasonality
model:
'additive' (Y[t] = T[t] + S[t] + e[t], default option) or 'multiplicative' (Y[t] = T[t] * S[t] * e[t])
"""
self.in_column = in_column
self.period = period
self.model = model
super().__init__(
transform=_OneSegmentDeseasonalityTransform(
in_column=self.in_column,
period=self.period,
model=self.model,
),
required_features=[self.in_column],
)

def get_regressors_info(self) -> List[str]:
"""Return the list with regressors created by the transform."""
return []

def params_to_tune(self) -> Dict[str, BaseDistribution]:
"""Get default grid for tuning hyperparameters.
This grid tunes parameters: ``model``. Other parameters are expected to be set by the user.
Returns
-------
:
Grid to tune.
"""
return {"model": CategoricalDistribution(["additive", "multiplicative"])}
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